AUGUST 2007 KEY POINTS
Trend
The August 2007 trend estimate for new motor vehicle sales (86 834) increased 0.1% when compared with the July 2007 estimate. The trend estimate has now been increasing for 15 consecutive months. When compared to August 2006, the trend estimate increased by 8.1%.
Sports utility vehicles increased 0.8% and other vehicles increased by 0.2% when comparing August 2007 to July 2007. Trend estimates for sports utility vehicles have shown increases for the last 14 months. Passenger vehicles, however, have been decreasing for five consecutive months and fell by 0.1% when comparing August 2007 to July 2007.
All vehicle types have recorded increases when compared to the same period 12 months ago. Sports utility vehicles, other vehicles and passenger vehicles rose 16.0%, 9.9% and 5.3%, respectively.
When comparing August 2007 to July 2007, Western Australia, Victoria and New South Wales showed increases in the trend estimate of total sales of new motor vehicles, rising 0.7%, 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively. The other states and territories showed decreases in the trend estimate of total sales of new motor vehicles. The greatest decreases were in Tasmania and Queensland, which fell by 0.8% and 0.7% respectively.
Seasonally adjusted
The August 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (86 096) decreased by 1.9% compared with July 2007. The only vehicle type to increase was sports utility vehicles, increasing by 4.6%. Passenger vehicles and other vehicles decreased by 4.2% and 0.8% respectively.
When comparing August 2007 to July 2007, the Northern Territory and Victoria recorded increases of 3.9% and 0.7% respectively. Total sales decreased in the other states and territories, with Tasmania recording the largest decrease of 15.4%. Queensland and South Australia followed with decreases of 5.6% and 1.9% respectively.
New motor vehicles sales August 2007
| NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
Vehicle sales
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 26 445 | 22 276 | 18 359 | 5 049 | 10 299 | 1 463 | 830 | 1 375 | 86 096 |
Trend | 26 647 | 22 142 | 18 956 | 5 058 | 10 270 | 1 566 | 816 | 1 379 | 86 834 |
Percentage change from previous month
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | -1.3 | 0.7 | -5.6 | -1.9 | -0.3 | -15.4 | 3.9 | -0.9 | -1.9 |
Trend | 0.3 | 0.4 | -0.7 | -0.1 | 0.7 | -0.8 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 0.1 |
Percentage change from previous year
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 9.8 | 9.7 | 5.8 | 1.7 | 7.6 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 14.4 | 8.0 |
Trend | 9.7 | 9.4 | 7.0 | 0.9 | 8.0 | -0.8 | 5.3 | 14.8 | 8.1 |
|
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.
NOTES
FORTHCOMING ISSUES
ISSUE | RELEASE DATE | |
| | |
September 2007 | 19 October 2007 | |
October 2007 | 21 November 2007 | |
November 2007 | 21 December 2007 | |
December 2007 | 22 January 2008 | |
January 2008 | 21 February 2008 | |
February 2008 | 20 March 2008 | |
| | |
WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES
The "what-if" analysis is presented to give an indicative view of the possible revision of the current trend estimate based on the different scenarios of the future seasonally adjusted estimates. These estimates should not be used as a prediction of future trend estimates. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.
The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the published trend estimates.
1 | The September 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the August 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%. |
2 | The September 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the August 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%. |
The percentage change of 3.4% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.4%.
SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES.
Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle
|
| | Passenger vehicles (No.) | Sports utility vehicles (No.) | Other vehicles (No.) | Total vehicles (No.) | Change passenger vehicles
(%) | Change sports utility vehicles (%) | Change other vehicles (%) | Change total vehicles (%) |
|
Original |
|
2006 | June | 57 026 | 18 079 | 21 343 | 96 448 | 12.5 | 22.0 | 18.8 | 15.6 |
| July | 48 798 | 13 279 | 15 485 | 77 562 | -14.4 | -26.6 | -27.4 | -19.6 |
| August | 52 030 | 13 539 | 16 092 | 81 661 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 5.3 |
| September | 51 388 | 13 208 | 15 397 | 79 993 | -1.2 | -2.4 | -4.3 | -2.0 |
| October | 50 532 | 13 921 | 15 477 | 79 930 | -1.7 | 5.4 | 0.5 | -0.1 |
| November | 51 850 | 15 193 | 16 254 | 83 297 | 2.6 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| December | 48 348 | 14 258 | 14 457 | 77 063 | -6.8 | -6.2 | -11.1 | -7.5 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 49 189 | 14 303 | 13 444 | 76 936 | 1.7 | 0.3 | -7.0 | -0.2 |
| February | 52 628 | 14 912 | 16 200 | 83 740 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 20.5 | 8.8 |
| March | 57 757 | 17 589 | 19 046 | 94 392 | 9.7 | 18.0 | 17.6 | 12.7 |
| April | 45 109 | 14 274 | 16 231 | 75 614 | -21.9 | -18.8 | -14.8 | -19.9 |
| May | 52 727 | 16 912 | 18 958 | 88 597 | 16.9 | 18.5 | 16.8 | 17.2 |
| June | 63 768 | 18 966 | 22 363 | 105 097 | 20.9 | 12.1 | 18.0 | 18.6 |
| July | 53 589 | 15 396 | 17 306 | 86 291 | -16.0 | -18.8 | -22.6 | -17.9 |
| August | 52 748 | 17 440 | 18 018 | 88 206 | -1.6 | 13.3 | 4.1 | 2.2 |
|
Seasonally adjusted |
|
2006 | June | 48183 | 14 427 | 15 725 | 78 335 | -3.2 | 2.4 | -4.2 | -2.4 |
| July | 50 536 | 14 224 | 16 012 | 80 772 | 4.9 | -1.4 | 1.8 | 3.1 |
| August | 50 786 | 12 941 | 15 983 | 79 710 | 0.5 | -9.0 | -0.2 | -1.3 |
| September | 51 075 | 14 485 | 15 994 | 81 554 | 0.6 | 11.9 | 0.1 | 2.3 |
| October | 50 486 | 15 094 | 16 319 | 81 899 | -1.2 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| November | 50 652 | 14 842 | 16 078 | 81 572 | 0.3 | -1.7 | -1.5 | -0.4 |
| December | 51 601 | 14 801 | 15 683 | 82 085 | 1.9 | -0.3 | -2.5 | 0.6 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 54333 | 15 360 | 16 949 | 86 642 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 8.1 | 5.6 |
| February | 53 673 | 15 474 | 17 250 | 86 397 | -1.2 | 0.7 | 1.8 | -0.3 |
| March | 53 790 | 15 608 | 17 555 | 86 953 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| April | 51 998 | 16 402 | 17 432 | 85 832 | -3.3 | 5.1 | -0.7 | -1.3 |
| May | 52 495 | 15 695 | 17 351 | 85 541 | 1.0 | -4.3 | -0.5 | -0.3 |
| June | 54 134 | 15 948 | 17 227 | 87 309 | 3.1 | 1.6 | -0.7 | 2.1 |
| July | 53 970 | 16 061 | 17 732 | 87 763 | -0.3 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| August | 51 720 | 16 794 | 17 582 | 86 096 | -4.2 | 4.6 | -0.8 | -1.9 |
|
Trend |
|
2006 | June | 49 599 | 13 941 | 16 044 | 79 584 | 0.6 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0.2 |
| July | 49 914 | 14 004 | 15 997 | 79 915 | 0.6 | 0.5 | -0.3 | 0.4 |
| August | 50 225 | 14 118 | 15 964 | 80 307 | 0.6 | 0.8 | -0.2 | 0.5 |
| September | 50 557 | 14 296 | 15 959 | 80 812 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| October | 51 027 | 14 523 | 16 019 | 81 569 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| November | 51 643 | 14 793 | 16 173 | 82 609 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| December | 52 255 | 15 079 | 16 421 | 83 755 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 52 763 | 15 335 | 16 716 | 84 814 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| February | 53 169 | 15 524 | 17 016 | 85 709 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| March | 53 350 | 15 678 | 17 256 | 86 284 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| April | 53 315 | 15 842 | 17 404 | 86 561 | -0.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| May | 53 184 | 15 986 | 17 468 | 86 638 | -0.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| June | 53 080 | 16 118 | 17 501 | 86 699 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| July | 52 967 | 16 251 | 17 524 | 86 742 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| August | 52 900 | 16 383 | 17 551 | 86 834 | -0.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
|
|
| | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration
|
| | NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
| | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) |
|
Original |
|
2006 | June | 28 560 | 23 015 | 23 091 | 6 164 | 11 170 | 1 936 | 1 058 | 1 454 | 96 448 |
| July | 23 688 | 19 322 | 17 910 | 4 794 | 8 720 | 1 334 | 679 | 1 115 | 77 562 |
| August | 24 223 | 21 043 | 18 124 | 5 107 | 9 736 | 1 436 | 768 | 1 224 | 81 661 |
| September | 24 267 | 20 449 | 17 061 | 4 903 | 9 716 | 1 688 | 682 | 1 227 | 79 993 |
| October | 24 379 | 20 785 | 16 625 | 4 781 | 9 591 | 1 797 | 762 | 1 210 | 79 930 |
| November | 25 418 | 20 739 | 18 076 | 5 116 | 9 972 | 1 973 | 733 | 1 270 | 83 297 |
| December | 22 927 | 19 790 | 16 551 | 4 700 | 9 471 | 1 748 | 688 | 1 188 | 77 063 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 24 429 | 19 000 | 16 769 | 4 620 | 8 929 | 1 285 | 651 | 1 253 | 76 936 |
| February | 25 636 | 21 510 | 18 221 | 5 138 | 9 625 | 1 463 | 771 | 1 376 | 83 740 |
| March | 29 107 | 23 408 | 21 772 | 5 588 | 10 530 | 1 533 | 978 | 1 476 | 94 392 |
| April | 23 245 | 18 833 | 16 907 | 4 616 | 8 701 | 1 214 | 883 | 1 215 | 75 614 |
| May | 26 649 | 22 151 | 20 428 | 5 237 | 10 172 | 1 587 | 973 | 1 400 | 88 597 |
| June | 31 965 | 25 491 | 24 997 | 6 152 | 11 995 | 1 750 | 1 107 | 1 640 | 105 097 |
| July | 26 851 | 21 655 | 19 600 | 4 871 | 9 645 | 1 561 | 739 | 1 369 | 86 291 |
| August | 26 549 | 22 958 | 19 145 | 5 128 | 10 730 | 1 481 | 791 | 1 424 | 88 206 |
|
Seasonally adjusted |
|
2006 | June | 23 893 | 19 330 | 17 380 | 5 030 | 9 086 | 1 636 | 755 | 1 225 | 78 335 |
| July | 24 088 | 20 491 | 18 214 | 5 114 | 9 443 | 1 509 | 750 | 1 163 | 80 772 |
| August | 24 093 | 20 298 | 17 346 | 4 967 | 9 569 | 1 432 | 803 | 1 202 | 79 710 |
| September | 24 720 | 20 748 | 17 675 | 5 029 | 9 657 | 1 717 | 765 | 1 243 | 81 554 |
| October | 25 207 | 20 539 | 17 951 | 4 890 | 9 633 | 1 637 | 838 | 1 204 | 81 899 |
| November | 24 917 | 19 986 | 18 401 | 4 976 | 9 600 | 1 652 | 765 | 1 275 | 81 572 |
| December | 25 000 | 20 344 | 18 645 | 4 821 | 9 802 | 1 416 | 801 | 1 256 | 82 085 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 26 734 | 21 767 | 19 058 | 5 397 | 9 945 | 1 568 | 838 | 1 335 | 86 642 |
| February | 25 942 | 22 190 | 19 097 | 5 201 | 10 029 | 1 713 | 827 | 1 398 | 86 397 |
| March | 26 585 | 21 948 | 19 567 | 5 251 | 9 785 | 1 598 | 829 | 1 390 | 86 953 |
| April | 26 411 | 21 237 | 19 204 | 5 213 | 9 971 | 1 543 | 841 | 1 412 | 85 832 |
| May | 25 947 | 21 621 | 19 329 | 4 971 | 9 946 | 1 531 | 816 | 1 380 | 85 541 |
| June | 26 849 | 22 216 | 19 287 | 5 075 | 10 094 | 1 588 | 821 | 1 379 | 87 309 |
| July | 26 801 | 22 121 | 19 442 | 5 149 | 10 334 | 1 730 | 799 | 1 387 | 87 763 |
| August | 26 445 | 22 276 | 18 359 | 5 049 | 10 299 | 1 463 | 830 | 1 375 | 86 096 |
|
Trend |
|
2006 | June | 24 042 | 20 086 | 17 576 | 5 121 | 9 249 | 1 567 | 755 | 1 188 | 79 584 |
| July | 24 107 | 20 173 | 17 633 | 5 078 | 9 395 | 1 574 | 763 | 1 192 | 79 915 |
| August | 24 286 | 20 232 | 17 713 | 5 015 | 9 506 | 1 579 | 775 | 1 201 | 80 307 |
| September | 24 542 | 20 297 | 17 834 | 4 964 | 9 592 | 1 584 | 786 | 1 213 | 80 812 |
| October | 24 860 | 20 434 | 18 039 | 4 952 | 9 668 | 1 587 | 795 | 1 234 | 81 569 |
| November | 25 231 | 20 668 | 18 324 | 4 993 | 9 738 | 1 591 | 803 | 1 261 | 82 609 |
| December | 25 594 | 20 947 | 18 648 | 5 064 | 9 801 | 1 594 | 812 | 1 295 | 83 755 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 25 902 | 21 248 | 18 943 | 5 134 | 9 848 | 1 587 | 820 | 1 332 | 84 814 |
| February | 26 149 | 21 530 | 19 185 | 5 183 | 9 889 | 1 582 | 827 | 1 364 | 85 709 |
| March | 26 320 | 21 728 | 19 316 | 5 194 | 9 927 | 1 585 | 829 | 1 385 | 86 284 |
| April | 26 425 | 21 832 | 19 348 | 5 169 | 9 974 | 1 591 | 829 | 1 393 | 86 561 |
| May | 26 481 | 21 880 | 19 305 | 5 128 | 10 035 | 1 592 | 824 | 1 393 | 86 638 |
| June | 26 531 | 21 952 | 19 214 | 5 094 | 10 112 | 1 586 | 820 | 1 390 | 86 699 |
| July | 26 570 | 22 043 | 19 092 | 5 064 | 10 194 | 1 578 | 817 | 1 384 | 86 742 |
| August | 26 647 | 22 142 | 18 956 | 5 058 | 10 270 | 1 566 | 816 | 1 379 | 86 834 |
|
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes. |